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April 10, 2019

Trump promised a new trade policy....

By Stanley Greenberg. This article appeared on the Washington Post website on April 10, 2019. Donald Trump disrupted the 2016 election and won many...
January 24, 2019

First national poll shows...

Unsurprisingly, our first survey of 2019, conducted during the government shutdown, shows those saying the country is on the wrong track up sharply...
November 16, 2018

Democrats won big embracing strong...

Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to...

In the News
The Democratic Civil War Is Getting Nasty, Even If No One Is Paying Attention
Saturday, November 04 2017

By Susan Glasser. This article appeared in The New Yorker on November 1, 2017.

On the morning of October 5th, President Trump was on one of his Twitter rants from the White House, denying as “fake news” an NBC report that his Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, had called him a “moron” and threatened to resign. Elsewhere in Washington, the drama over whether Tillerson was actually on his way out threatened to overwhelm other news stories for a second straight day. But, when I arrived at the townhouse of Stanley Greenberg, the veteran Democratic strategist, on Capitol Hill, later that morning, it was not the distractions of the Trump White House that had him worked up. Greenberg was still fuming about Hillary Clinton. Clinton was guilty of “malpractice” in how she conducted her 2016 Presidential campaign, Greenberg told me. Even worse, he said, Democrats were repeating the same political mistakes a year later. “Look at Virginia right now,” Greenberg said, as soon as we sat down in his second-floor office. 
 
 
NAFTA Renegotiation Requires Innovative Progressive Response
Wednesday, September 27 2017
Attachments:
Download this file (CO_Public Citizen_NAFTA FG Context_Memo_9.27.2017_for distribution.pdf)Note on NAFTA Renegotiation from S. Greenberg & L.Wallach[ ]132 Kb81 Downloads

Trump’s unexpected victory has disrupted progressive strategies to dominate this period, but no area has been disrupted more than trade. No other area leaves progressives more uncertain on their message and how to proceed. No other area will require as new and distinctive a strategic messaging platform – and that is true immediately, and in the medium and long term. Trump’s NAFTA renegotiation will trigger a renewed debate about American trade policy. Progressives are presently unprepared to win that war of words. The failure to prioritize effective messaging on these issues could also have dire political consequences beyond the imminent NAFTA fight. 

 READ THE NOTE FROM STAN GREENBERG & PUBLIC CITIZEN'S LORI WALLACH

 
How She Lost
Thursday, September 21 2017
By Stanley Greenberg for the Fall 2017 issue of The American Prospect.
 
Hillary Clinton’s tragic 2016 campaign faced withering criticism in the press, social media, and now, in Jonathan Allen and Amie Parnes’s inside account, Shattered. From my vantage point as lead pollster for the Democratic nominees in 1992 and 2000, part of the closing clutch of pollsters in 2004, and invited noodge in 2016, I have little quarrel with the harshest of these criticisms. Malpractice and arrogance contributed mightily to the election of Donald Trump and its profound threat to our democracy. So did the handling of the email server, paid Wall Street speeches, and the “deplorables” comment. And her unwillingness to challenge the excesses of big money and corporate influence left her exposed to attacks first by Bernie Sanders and then by Donald Trump and unable to offer credible promise of change. Yet the accounts of Hillary Clinton are very incomplete, miss the reasons for her ambivalence, and miss most of the big structural forces at work that made it hard for her to commit to a different path. That is where we learn the most about the progressive debate ahead.
 
This article originally appeared on The American Prospect website on September 21st. It appears in the Fall 2017 issue of The American Prospect magazine. 

 

 

 

 
The Democrats' "Working Class Problem"
Thursday, June 01 2017
This article originally appeared in The American Prospect on June 1st as part of the series on the White Working Class and Democrats.
 
The road to a sustainable Democratic majority—nationally, locally, and in the states—must include much higher Democratic performance with white working-class voters (those without a four-year degree). Nearly every group in the progressive infrastructure is busy figuring out how Democrats can get back to the level of support they reached with President Obama’s 2012 victory. That is a pretty modest target, however, given the scale of Democratic losses. It underestimates the scope of the problem and, ironically, the opportunity.  

The Democrats don’t have a “white working-class problem.” They have a “working-class problem,” which progressives have been reluctant to address honestly or boldly. The fact is that Democrats have lost support with all working-class voters across the electorate, including the Rising American Electorate of minorities, unmarried women, and millennials. This decline contributed mightily to the Democrats’ losses in the states and Congress and to the election of Donald Trump.

READ THE FULL ARTICLE. 

 
TIME: Women Trump Voters Are Starting to Doubt Him (by Stan Greenberg & Page Gardner)
Friday, April 21 2017

By Stan Greenberg and Page Gardner 

President Donald Trump won the 2016 election partly because many Americans believed that a businessman not beholden to special interests could shake up politics, get things done and reform government so it finally works for them. Some of those supporters are starting to worry. The surprisingly close contest in the congressional special election in ruby-red Georgia this week telegraphed possible doubts about whether the President and congressional Republicans can bring change. Now new focus-group research reveals the potential for these Trump voters to become disillusioned with his performance before he hits even 100 days.

READ THE FULL OP-ED ON TIME.COM

READ THE FOCUS GROUP REPORT

 

 

 
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