Most Popular

April 10, 2019

Trump promised a new trade policy....

By Stanley Greenberg. This article appeared on the Washington Post website on April 10, 2019. Donald Trump disrupted the 2016 election and won many...
January 24, 2019

First national poll shows...

Unsurprisingly, our first survey of 2019, conducted during the government shutdown, shows those saying the country is on the wrong track up sharply...
November 16, 2018

Democrats won big embracing strong...

Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to...

SOTU 2018: No Sugar High
Friday, February 02 2018
Download this file (Dcorps_WV_SOTU 2018 Dials_Deck_2.1.2018_for web.pdf)Presentation: SOTU 2018 Dial Groups - No Sugar High[ ]2861 Kb110 Downloads
Download this file (Dcorps_WV_SOTU Dials_Memo_2.1.2018_for web.pdf)Report: SOTU 2018 Dial Groups - No Sugar High[ ]570 Kb107 Downloads

President Donald Trump delivered a remarkably unsuccessful, unimpactful State of the Union on Tuesday. This is according to live dial-meter research conducted for Women’s Voices Women Vote Action Fund by Democracy Corps among 108 Rising American Electorate (RAE) voters – the voters that will decide control of Congress in 2018.[1] Presidents usually receive a post-address sugar high in dial groups, but President Trump’s speech produced a particularly small rise in personal favorability and job performance – increases smaller than those observed in last year’s unsuccessful Joint Session to Congress. He failed to use this once-a-year opportunity to shift the momentum in the generic congressional ballot toward the GOP, which is the humblest expectation when a president has a devoted national audience for 90 minutes. In fact, he produced a 12-point shift to the Democrats among the white millennial participants in our dial-group. Critically, he increased the determination of white unmarried women, Latinos, and African Americans to vote in 2018.