This is a turning point in the 2020 campaign. Vice President Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the battleground by a healthy margin of 4 points, and 5 in a two-way contest. This is a battleground that Donald Trump painfully won by 1.3 points in 2016, but Senator Bernie Sanders only matches Hillary Clinton’s performance in these critical states. After a simulated campaign played in this web survey, he loses by 5 points.
The states included Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Wisconsin
A phone poll of 1,000 registered voters in a 16-state Presidential and Senate battleground was conducted by phone March 9-16, 2020 from a voter-file sample. 67% of respondents were reached on cell phones in order to accurately reflect the American electorate. Margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. A large-scale web survey of 2,900 registered voters in the 16-state battleground was conducted online March 10-17, 2020 from a voter-file sample.
