The final national survey from Democracy Corps and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner shows Obama with a stable and decisive lead in the race for president. But there is much more going on that will likely produce an even bigger outcome. With surging enthusiasm and solidity of Obama’s voters and a growing partisan advantage impacting races at all levels, more than a few barriers will likely be broken on November 4th.
The structure of Obama’s support is untouched by the closing campaign, with considerable evidence of rising confidence in Obama over McCain on taxes, the economy and the financial crisis that are themselves growing more central in predicting the vote. With surging enthusiasm and solidity of Obama’s voters and a growing partisan advantage impacting races at all levels, more than a few barriers will likely be broken on November 4th. Obama is ahead in the race for president in our last poll that was conducted Thursday night, Saturday morning and Sunday night with 1,000 likely voters nationwide by a 7-point margin: 51 to 44 percent, with 3 percent undecided and 4 percent voting for 3rd parties (Nader at 2 percent and Barr at 1 percent).
We project, however, when all is said and done that Obama will lead 53 to 44 percent, with 3 percent for 3rd party candidates.
