By Stanley Greenberg This op-ed first appeared in the New York Times Sunday Review on November 18, 2018. America’s polarized citizenry took a break from intense partisan bickering to produce the highest off-year turnout in a midterm election in 50 years on Nov....
Many vulnerable Republicans hoped that the GDP and jobs numbers and their signature legislative accomplishment, the tax cut, would persuade voters to keep them in office. Instead, Democrats won with a strong message that the Trump economy is failing to raise wages and...
The Democrats had a very big election on Tuesday, with a 7-point national congressional margin that allowed them to pick up 35 House seats, to elect a record-breaking 100 women to the House, and to flip six statehouses and seven governors’ mansions. Democrats now...
President Donald Trump closed this campaign by warning of the grave danger people posed by criminal and violent immigrants and from the Democratic leaders who support open borders and sanctuary cities. We think you will find that when the votes are all counted,...
The new tax cut law – the Republicans’ signature legislative accomplishment – is unpopular, and increasingly so, as a majority have not seen any personal benefit and believe the tax cut primarily benefits corporations and the wealthy at their expense. Critically,...
President Donald Trump has chosen to crudely heat up the culture war to get his base to erase the Democratic advantage heading into the midterms. The President, Brett Kavanaugh, and most Senate Republicans have made white men a victim of a dominant PC culture...
One-fifth of Republicans are conservative or observant Catholics and look like the history of industrialized America that took pro-life, socially conservative, patriotic Catholics into the Republican Party, particularly in the Midwest and Northeast. That is why we...
The most competitive battleground states are breaking against President Trump and the congressional Republicans, millennials are showing signs of life, disaffected Republicans are fracturing, and voters are angry about corrupt deals for wealthy corporate donors and...
The Trump presidency has created serious opportunities for agile progressives to target and deliver messages to a fractured and demoralized GOP. This is the conclusion of Democracy Corps’ new national online message test of 1,200 Republican registered...
Democracy Corps’ new project on the Trump-GOP began with focus groups with the Evangelical GOP women from the smaller towns outside Raleigh, North Carolina. One-in-four Republicans identify as Evangelical and conservative. They are the quintessential values...
Democracy Corps recently conducted a series of focus groups with the various factions of the Republican Party, including a group of Tea Party men. Tea Party supporting Republicans are 21 percent of the GOP base and they are President Donald Trump’s most ardent...
Democracy Corps recently conducted a series of focus groups with all the major factions of the Republican base, including a conflicted group of “secular conservative” men in Denver. They are part of the one-in-five Republicans who are ideologically...
Four months before the election, Democracy Corps started conducting deep qualitative and quantitative research with the base voters who identify with the Republican Party. The findings paint a picture very different from the one that assumes the GOP is...
Democracy Corps just completed focus groups with key segments of the Republican Party. They confirm very clearly that Donald Trump riling up his Tea Party and Evangelical base both fuels the Democratic resistance and pushes away many in the GOP. Trump’s base strategy...
Pundits built a new conventional wisdom that included higher job approval ratings for President Donald Trump due to the tax cuts and strong economy that could shrink the enthusiasm advantage and midterm vote for Democrats. But they are wrong about the political...
By Stanley Greenberg for the Summer 2018 issue of The American Prospect magazine. (This article originally appeared online on June 20, 2018.) The 2018 elections in November could be as important to Democrats as the anti-Obamacare 2010 wave election...
This article by Stanley Greenberg first appeared on The New York Times website on June 18, 2018. Political commentators and strategists write with some awe of President Trump’s outrageous, gutsy strategy of ginning up his base with one more attack on...
The Trump-GOP tax cut must be the centerpiece of any Democratic midterm message, in the same way that Obamacare was the foundation for the Republican wave in 2010. That is the clear conclusion of the third phase of research on the new tax cut and the economy...
By Stanley Greenberg & Page Gardner for The Hill, May 18, 2018 With approval ratings of 42 percent for President Trump and a dismal 18 percent for the Republican Congress, Democrats could be poised to win landslide victories in this year’s elections — from the...
On the one-year anniversary of the Trump presidency, Democracy Corps traveled to Michigan to speak with the white working class Obama-Trump voters of Macomb County, the African American women of Detroit and the college educated women of suburban Southfield....
