New poll in 2022 Senate and House battleground Key Findings: •The Child Tax Credit gets a very warm reception from those receiving it. It is received very positively by Blacks, Hispanics and Asian Americans, Millennials and unmarried women in the Democratic base, but...
We conducted a large, mostly cell phone survey with an oversample of Republicans in the 2022 battleground for the U.S. Senate, governorships, and House, and it is painfully clear Don-ald Trump, Lindsey Graham, and Kevin McCarthy know their party. The Trump loyalists...
Donald Trump’s influence on the Republican Party continues to shape America’s politics, even as the Democrats have taken control of the federal government and Congress. When polls accurately reflect the proportion of the white working class voters and their support...
Our co-founder, Stanley Greenberg, learned in polling for campaigns in Austria, the U.K., and Israel to respect the role of working class, nationalist voters led by a right-wing populist leader running against the liberal establishment and their ability to upset...
On behalf of RespectAbility and the Georgia Disability Vote Partnership (GDVP), Greenberg Research and Democracy Corps conducted 2 sets of online video focus groups among registered voters with disabilities[1] in Georgia (see footnote for definition of disability);...
The disruptive campaign that elected Biden president The election of Donald Trump produced the highest turnout in any midterm — led by Black Americans, women, and suburban voters — and the fierce re-election battle in 2020, the highest turnout since 1900 — led by...
President Elect Joe Biden will win the popular vote by perhaps 5 points and the Electoral College with 306 votes. He did it by reinforcing the Democratic trends in the new diverse states and country, winning Arizona and Georgia by razor thin margins. He did it by...
It is still critical to be on the offensive getting soft Republican and anti-systemic voters to break for Joe, votes to break for Biden or not go cast that vote for Biden. These weekend recommendations are based on the dial meter and pre-post survey we conducted for...
The commentariat has totally missed how much the final debate has damaged President Trump and further pushed the race’s dynamic to favor Vice President Joe Biden. The debates take place in a country where Trump’s approval and vote is stuck at 42 percent when the rest...
America is at a decision point — as are so many voters who will decide the scale of President Trump’s potential repudiation. Biden’s VP selection, the DNC, the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg and the rushed Supreme Court nomination have super consolidated and...
Race unchanged, but millennials assured and white working class men impressed. -Debate leaves structure of the race untouched, which is extremely favorable to Biden uniting the country, on middle class values, education, and dealing with the racial strife. The debate...
Joe Biden has locked in his lead in the battleground states in a way that makes him a formidable opponent in the Rust Belt and blue wall states and in the suburbs. He now brings a fully consolidated and energized base, while competing for the white working class. The...
Biden has come out of the conventions with an impressive 8-point lead in the battleground states,but big changes in patterns of support that may assure his Electoral College majority, whilepushing down Biden and Democratic performance elsewhere in the country,...
Democracy Corps’ phone, mostly cell poll with 1,500 respondents in sixteen battleground states shows Joe Biden and the Democrats moving into the kind of lead it needs to deny Donald Trump the ability to disrupt Election Day. The poll was conducted after the selection...
Democracy Corps just completed our first focus groups of the 2020 election with Republicans and Republican defectors, and this year’s referendum on President Trump threatens to reach even deeper into the Republican Party than the 2018 blue wave. These focus groups...
The Tea Party-Trump Republican Party was forced to lead the country’s response to the pandemic and that accelerated the polarization of the country and marginalization of the GOP — at a very high human cost. Donald Trump took leadership of a modern Republican Party...
For the first time in our post-Tea Party era, America responded to a big national challenge with a single voice. Nine in ten Democrats, independents, and Republicans embraced social distancing to fight the pandemic in a way that stopped the economy, split families...
This is a turning point in the 2020 campaign. Vice President Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the battleground by a healthy margin of 4 points, and 5 in a two-way contest. This is a battleground that Donald Trump painfully won by 1.3 points in 2016, but Senator Bernie...
As the stakes in the US elections rise through each day of the pandemic, the country is sending a very clear signal about the Democratic nominee and electability. Democracy Corps conducted a 1,000-sample mostly cell-phone survey and a 2,900-sample web panel survey on...
Book Recommendation - It's the Middle Class, Stupid!by James Carville & Stan Greenberg
Government has really screwed things up for the average American. Work has been devalued. Education costs are out of sight. Effort and ambition have never been so scantily rewarded. Political guru James...
